Investor's Log

Emerging markets ETFs: outperformance starts with a tilt

A study of EM ETF strategies across 7 market regimes

19 hrs ago • I, Bayes

3

2

March 2026

Mercado Libre reverse DCF: pricing a strong but fragile fintech edge

Let's talk numbers, not vibes

Mar 3 • I, Bayes

29

19

2

February 2026

The case for European dividend ETFs

Dividends aren't just for grandmas

Feb 25 • I, Bayes

16

2

December 2025

Three blind spots in the passive investing playbook

The hidden cost of zero tracking error, the "rising tide" bias, and the flaws of naive diversification

Dec 2, 2025 • I, Bayes

1

2

November 2025

Is META undervalued after the dip?

3-scenario analysis through expectations investing lens

Nov 12, 2025 • I, Bayes

5

6

1

Stock spin-off investing: does it still work today?

A backtest of 2023 spin-offs

Nov 4, 2025 • I, Bayes

5

2

October 2025

Expectations Investing: a fundamental book on stock valuation

Review & summary

Oct 22, 2025 • I, Bayes

6

3

2

ChatGPT for stock-picking: could simple AI screening improve a portfolio?

A quick backtest + thoughts about AI’s place in investment research

Oct 16, 2025 • I, Bayes

1

1

How do I combine active and passive investments

The time machine method

Oct 13, 2025 • I, Bayes

2

Undervalued growth stocks backtest: how a simple screener crushed the S&P 500

I expected these stocks to lag. They didn’t.

Oct 8, 2025 • I, Bayes

1

Seasonality in gold: do some months outperform the rest?

An analysis of returns over the past 25 years

Oct 5, 2025 • I, Bayes

1

September 2025